SUNDAY'S ITV RACING TIPS: CHELTENHAM & FONTWELL
It's the third and final day of Cheltenham's November Meeting, and with five live races from Cheltenham plus a bonus contest from Fontwell, pundit Rory Paddock runs through all the action as he looks to bag a few winners and round off the week in style.
12:50 CHELTENHAM
With Ben Pauling landing the big race here yesterday, the yard is certainly in good form and could add to that success with Mourne Crystal.
It's a difficult race to be overly confident in, but with a recent run under his belt, he could be fitter and sharper than some of today's opposition.
Made In Reugny cannot be dismissed given the strength of his connections and a solid second on his only start to date. However, a 391-day absence means punters will have to take it on trust that he'll be fully primed and ready to go after such a lengthy break.
Lastbutnotleast represents the same connections as Old Park Star, who didn't line up yesterday. They'll be hoping to put that disappointment behind them and get amongst the winners here, although making his debut under Rules looks a tough enough assignment.
Of the remainder, Old Habits looks the most interesting at a bigger price for those looking to find a little value.
MOURNE CRYSTAL (WIN)
13:05 FONTWELL
The only race away from Cheltenham to feature on ITV, and it's arguably one of the toughest contests of the afternoon to call.
Last year's winner Livin On Luco returns in an attempt to retain his title, and having gone up just 5lbs for that success, it's certainly not beyond the realms of possibility. That being said, with a relatively inexperienced rider booked, he could find one or two too good this afternoon.
Of the Hobbs and White runners, I'd be more inclined to side with Call Me Legend. He's a consistent performer and has the advantage of carrying less weight than his stablemate.
Without being unkind to the remainder, Jeu d'Opale and Mask Of Zorro look the two with the strongest claims. Off a mark of 111, and assuming he's fit and ready to go, Jeu d'Opale makes the most appeal and gets the nod.
JEU D'OPALE (WIN)
13:25 CHELTENHAM
Crystal Island makes his handicap debut, and it's difficult to look past the unbeaten Henderson runner. Three wins from three starts is an impressive record, and whether he can go on to achieve the same level of success as other horses owned by his connections remains to be seen. For now, however, he looks the one to beat.
Four Springs returns to action following a victory last month and looks potentially overpriced at his current odds of 5/1. If he remains at that price or bigger, he's tempting as an each-way option and certainly looks capable of getting involved in the finish.
Stablemate Dig Deep is another handicap debutant who could go well at a decent price, while Pourquoi Pas Papa is also a runner who deserves a place on any shortlist.
CRYSTAL ISLAND (WIN)
14:00 CHELTENHAM
Former course winner Shakeyatailfeather has attracted plenty of market support, and hopefully there's good reason for that. She produced a much-improved effort to finish third last time out and, if she's come on for that run, looks primed to deliver another bold showing.
The consistent Highlands Legacy cannot be discounted, although from a betting perspective the current price looks a little too short.
With 13 runners set to go to post, Larzac makes plenty of appeal. He's competing in his first handicap and could have further improvement to come following his recent victory. He looks a solid each-way option.
Fellow handicap debutant Putapoundinthejar is another who looks capable of going close, while Authoceltic also deserves consideration.
SHAKEYATAILFEATHER (WIN)
LARZAC (E/W)
14:35 CHELTENHAM
Havaila bids to make it four wins on the bounce as the Moore-trained contender makes his seasonal reappearance. He deserves his place at the head of the market, but this looks a much tougher assignment than the races he's been winning of late. He should be thereabouts, although others make greater appeal from a betting perspective.
King Of Answers holds obvious claims and represents a yard that has mastered the art of preparing runners for longer-distance chases. He's one who should be involved in the finish and looks the biggest threat to our selection.
However, the one we've opted for looks far too big a price to ignore. Ten-year-old veteran Monbeg Genius could be the runner many have overlooked.
It's fair to say he's not the most prolific winner, but he produced a really credible third-place finish when last seen at Cheltenham in a far stronger contest. He returns to Jumps HQ off the same mark, and if fit and ready to go, he could outperform his current odds by some margin.
MONBEG GENIUS (E/W)
15:10 CHELTENHAM
This prestigious handicap hurdle looks just as competitive as ever, but trainer Dan Skelton certainly appears to be doing everything possible to take home the prize. His pair head the betting, with Harry Lowes and Let It Rain occupying the top two positions in the market.
It's a case of all things Harry for the Skelton team, with Harry Skelton and Harry Cobden booked to ride the stable's two contenders. Harry Lowes is partnered by new JP McManus retained jockey Harry Cobden, who will be looking to follow up yesterday's big-race success with another major handicap winner for his new employer.
The consistent five-year-old looks primed for a big effort, and with his owner renowned for landing a big handicap gamble, he's the one I'd rather be siding with of the two Skelton runners.
With such a large field, it's also important to try and uncover a little value elsewhere. The likes of Pioneer Pete, The Kemble Brewery, Burdett Road and Helnwein all look more than capable of playing a part, but there are two at even bigger prices who make particular appeal.
Mister Ursus is a lightly raced contender with plenty of room for further improvement. He should also come on for his seasonal return and could prove better than his current odds suggest.
Although trainer Nick Schofield hasn't had his horses in the best of form recently, one of his runners, Morning Mayhem, could sneak into the money if a few of the main protagonists fail to deliver.
HARRY LOWES (WIN)
MISTER URSUS (E/W)
MORNING MAYHEM (E/W)
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